Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Johansen 53.3% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 77.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 78.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 82.0%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Roy
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
14
(17 meetings)
3
14
Roy
Johansen
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Roy
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
9
Roy
Johansen
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Roy
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
53.1% (11,017)
-6.7%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
56.2% (2,163)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
50.5% (978)
-3.7%
On even strength, Johansen has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Roy
Johansen
Home
49.5% (1,982)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Roy
Johansen
P1
47.6%
53.2%
P2
46.2%
53.9%
P3
48.5%
52.8%
OT
43.1%
58.2%
Final 5 min
47.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2015 | OT | 00:42 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 13, 2015 | OT | 00:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |