Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Roy wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Johansen 51.8% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 78.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 75.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 69.4%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Roy
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Roy
Johansen
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Roy
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
6
Roy
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Roy
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
51.6% (1,127)
-6.8%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
53.6% (267)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
51.6% (244)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Roy is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Roy shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Roy
Johansen
Home
45.8% (421)
55.0% (809)
Away
43.9% (488)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Roy
Johansen
P1
44.9%
50.7%
P2
43.6%
54.4%
P3
46.4%
50.5%
OT
35.3%
64.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2015 | OT | 00:42 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 13, 2015 | OT | 00:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |