Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Kesler 55.9% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 87.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 89.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 93.1%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Roy
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
18
(27 meetings)
9
18
Roy
Kesler
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
5
Roy
Kesler
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
8
Roy
Kesler
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
5
Roy
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
56.4% (8,095)
-10.0%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
60.7% (1,437)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.7%
On even strength, Kesler has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Roy
Kesler
Home
49.5% (1,982)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Roy
Kesler
P1
47.6%
56.5%
P2
46.2%
55.9%
P3
48.5%
56.1%
OT
43.1%
46.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |