Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Monahan 51.3% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 72.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 71.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 70.7%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Roy
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
23
(40 meetings)
17
23
Roy
Monahan
Last 10: Roy 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
6
5
Roy
Monahan
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
9
Roy
Monahan
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
6
9
Roy
Monahan
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
51.1% (11,356)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
53.7% (2,580)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
46.0% (766)
+0.8%
On even strength, Monahan has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Roy
Monahan
Home
49.5% (1,982)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Roy
Monahan
P1
47.6%
50.9%
P2
46.2%
51.7%
P3
48.5%
51.0%
OT
43.1%
53.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |