Scouting Report
Tim Brent holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brent on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Brent 50.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Brent leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 77.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 51.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.7%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Roy
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Roy
Brent
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Brent
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brent
0
1
Roy
Brent
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brent
2
5
Roy
Brent
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
50.2% (1,234)
-3.8%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
58.2% (91)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
51.7% (267)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Brent has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Brent is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,058).
Home / Away
Roy
Brent
Home
49.5% (1,982)
51.6% (779)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
50.0% (820)
By Period
Roy
Brent
P1
47.6%
54.2%
P2
46.2%
49.3%
P3
48.5%
48.8%
OT
43.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Tim Brent |