Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brent on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Brent 48.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brent 59.7%
Defensive zone
Brent 56.0%
Neutral zone
Brent 57.8%
Result
Tim Brent favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Roy
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Roy
Brent
Last 6: Roy 2-4 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brent
2
4
Roy
Brent
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
47.8% (471)
+2.5%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
54.7% (53)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
48.9% (45)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Roy is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Roy shoots left. Brent is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Roy
Brent
Home
52.4% (683)
50.2% (279)
Away
48.6% (646)
47.3% (292)
By Period
Roy
Brent
P1
48.3%
53.9%
P2
49.5%
47.9%
P3
53.9%
44.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Derek Roy |