Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 76.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 70.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Roy
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Roy
Seguin
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
3
Roy
Seguin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Roy
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
0
Roy
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
53.7% (8,071)
-7.3%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
55.9% (810)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
49.3% (762)
-2.5%
On even strength, Seguin has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Roy
Seguin
Home
49.5% (1,982)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Roy
Seguin
P1
47.6%
52.8%
P2
46.2%
53.3%
P3
48.5%
54.7%
OT
43.1%
54.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Derek Roy |