Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Sobotka 55.8% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 74.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 58.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 69.5%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Roy
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Roy
Sobotka
Last 7: Roy 2-5 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Sobotka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
2
Roy
Sobotka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
3
Roy
Sobotka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
56.9% (2,613)
-10.5%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
57.0% (223)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
50.6% (447)
-3.8%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Sobotka is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,145).
Home / Away
Roy
Sobotka
Home
49.5% (1,982)
58.7% (1,601)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
53.5% (1,685)
By Period
Roy
Sobotka
P1
47.6%
56.2%
P2
46.2%
56.3%
P3
48.5%
55.3%
OT
43.1%
61.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Derek Roy |