Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.5% vs Ryan 54.6% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 77.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 80.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 79.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Schenn
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Schenn
Ryan
Last 7: Schenn 0-7 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Schenn
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Schenn
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
5
Schenn
Ryan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (469)
54.9% (576)
-8.4%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
59.8% (112)
-3.8%
On even strength, Ryan has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Schenn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Schenn shoots left. Ryan is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Home / Away
Schenn
Ryan
Home
49.6% (236)
57.7% (355)
Away
44.6% (258)
52.8% (352)
By Period
Schenn
Ryan
P1
48.0%
57.9%
P2
48.1%
53.2%
P3
42.2%
54.8%
OT
81.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.0%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |