Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.4% vs Ryan 55.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 79.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 88.0%
Neutral zone
Boyle 80.3%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Boyle
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Boyle
Ryan
Last 9: Boyle 2-7 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
4
Boyle
Ryan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Boyle
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (667)
56.5% (816)
-7.2%
Power Play
55.6% (124)
55.2% (105)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (41)
63.2% (19)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Boyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Boyle shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Boyle
Ryan
Home
52.9% (391)
56.7% (466)
Away
48.3% (441)
56.3% (474)
By Period
Boyle
Ryan
P1
48.9%
55.4%
P2
50.6%
58.1%
P3
51.2%
55.8%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |