Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hudon wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hudon 43.3% vs Ryan 55.9% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 50.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 58.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Hudon
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hudon
Ryan
Last 6: Hudon 3-3 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hudon
2
0
Hudon
Ryan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
2
Hudon
Ryan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Hudon
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hudon
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (174)
56.5% (816)
-18.0%
Power Play
47.7% (44)
55.2% (105)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
63.2% (19)
-63.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Hudon is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Hudon shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Hudon
Ryan
Home
40.0% (100)
56.7% (466)
Away
40.3% (119)
56.3% (474)
By Period
Hudon
Ryan
P1
39.7%
55.4%
P2
48.2%
58.1%
P3
31.1%
55.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hudon
36.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Charles Hudon |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Charles Hudon |