Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Shore shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Shore 47.4% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 62.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 75.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 71.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Ryan
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Ryan
Shore
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shore
0
1
Ryan
Shore
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
3
Ryan
Shore
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
6
3
Ryan
Shore
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
47.6% (1,389)
+9.0%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
43.8% (130)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
47.3% (91)
+0.5%
On power play, Ryan has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Shore is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Ryan
Shore
Home
56.2% (2,559)
46.7% (852)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
47.9% (758)
By Period
Ryan
Shore
P1
55.1%
46.4%
P2
54.7%
47.6%
P3
56.0%
47.6%
OT
58.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 13, 2017 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 12:51 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Devin Shore |