Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Strome 51.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 92.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 81.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Ryan
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
12
(30 meetings)
18
12
Ryan
Strome
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
8
Ryan
Strome
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
8
2
Ryan
Strome
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
2
Ryan
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
50.1% (6,337)
+6.5%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
58.4% (1,519)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
45.6% (68)
+2.2%
On even strength, Ryan has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Strome is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,655).
Home / Away
Ryan
Strome
Home
56.2% (2,559)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
52.2% (3,956)
By Period
Ryan
Strome
P1
55.1%
50.4%
P2
54.7%
52.1%
P3
56.0%
52.3%
OT
58.3%
52.8%
Final 5 min
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2022 | OT | 00:59 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |