Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Strome 45.2% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 55.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 54.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Ryan
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ryan
Strome
Last 5: Ryan 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Ryan
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
41.5% (195)
+15.0%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
57.9% (19)
-2.7%
On even strength, Ryan has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Strome is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Ryan
Strome
Home
56.7% (466)
46.6% (73)
Away
56.3% (474)
41.1% (141)
By Period
Ryan
Strome
P1
55.4%
40.3%
P2
58.1%
48.6%
P3
55.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |