Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Strome 48.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 76.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 95.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 92.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Ryan
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Ryan
Strome
Last 8: Ryan 8-0 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
0
Ryan
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
47.3% (829)
+11.8%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
69.0% (58)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
20.0% (10)
+37.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Ryan shoots right. Strome is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Ryan
Strome
Home
57.0% (398)
49.8% (468)
Away
59.5% (358)
46.9% (429)
By Period
Ryan
Strome
P1
56.2%
46.1%
P2
56.9%
52.9%
P3
61.1%
46.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |