Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Fehr shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Fehr 49.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 87.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 63.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 83.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Ryan
Fehr
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Ryan
Fehr
Last 10: Ryan 7-3 Fehr
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
0
Ryan
Fehr
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
2
5
Ryan
Fehr
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Fehr
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Fehr
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
49.9% (2,151)
+6.7%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
60.0% (45)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
47.1% (342)
+0.7%
On power play, Fehr has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fehr shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Fehr is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (862).
Home / Away
Ryan
Fehr
Home
56.2% (2,559)
50.4% (1,276)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
49.0% (1,262)
By Period
Ryan
Fehr
P1
55.1%
45.9%
P2
54.7%
53.1%
P3
56.0%
49.8%
OT
58.3%
55.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |