Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Fehr shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Fehr 50.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 82.5%
Defensive zone
Fehr 64.8%
Neutral zone
Fehr 50.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Ryan
Fehr
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Ryan
Fehr
Last 8: Ryan 4-4 Fehr
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Fehr
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
1
4
Ryan
Fehr
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Fehr
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
52.4% (124)
+2.5%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
100.0% (3)
-40.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
40.7% (27)
+1.4%
On power play, Fehr has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fehr shoots right. Ryan is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Ryan shoots right. Fehr is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Ryan
Fehr
Home
57.7% (355)
40.9% (66)
Away
52.8% (352)
59.1% (88)
By Period
Ryan
Fehr
P1
57.9%
46.8%
P2
53.2%
51.7%
P3
54.8%
55.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |