Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Fehr shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Fehr 51.2% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 93.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 61.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 88.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Ryan
Fehr
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ryan
Fehr
Last 5: Ryan 4-1 Fehr
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Fehr
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Fehr
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Fehr
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Fehr
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
51.4% (512)
+7.7%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
100.0% (4)
-50.9%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
50.3% (193)
+7.6%
On power play, Fehr has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fehr shoots right. Ryan is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Ryan shoots right. Fehr is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Ryan
Fehr
Home
57.0% (398)
51.0% (347)
Away
59.5% (358)
51.7% (362)
By Period
Ryan
Fehr
P1
56.2%
43.9%
P2
56.9%
55.1%
P3
61.1%
56.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |