Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Chlapik shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Chlapik 45.3% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 72.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 95.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 92.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Ryan
Chlapik
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Ryan
Chlapik
Last 10: Ryan 7-3 Chlapik
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Chlapik
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Chlapik
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Chlapik
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Chlapik
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
41.7% (156)
+14.9%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
50.0% (6)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
66.7% (3)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Chlapik has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chlapik shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Chlapik is 33.8% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Ryan
Chlapik
Home
56.2% (2,559)
54.8% (73)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
32.6% (92)
By Period
Ryan
Chlapik
P1
55.1%
39.3%
P2
54.7%
45.8%
P3
56.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Chlapik
32.0%▼
42.4%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Filip Chlapik |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Filip Chlapik |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Filip Chlapik |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |