Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +24.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Chlapik shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Chlapik 46.8% (+24.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 84.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 95.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 94.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Ryan
Chlapik
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Ryan
Chlapik
Last 6: Ryan 5-1 Chlapik
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Chlapik
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Chlapik
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Chlapik
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Chlapik
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
31.8% (22)
+27.3%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
50.0% (2)
-0.9%
On even strength, Ryan has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chlapik shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Ryan shoots right. Chlapik is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Ryan
Chlapik
Home
57.0% (398)
50.0% (8)
Away
59.5% (358)
25.0% (16)
By Period
Ryan
Chlapik
P1
56.2%
22.2%
P2
56.9%
57.1%
P3
61.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
80.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Chlapik
32.0%▼
42.4%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Filip Chlapik |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |