Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zetterberg on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zetterberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Zetterberg 48.5% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Zetterberg leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zetterberg 53.2%
Defensive zone
Zetterberg 52.5%
Neutral zone
Zetterberg 59.4%
Result
Henrik Zetterberg favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Ryan
Zetterberg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Ryan
Zetterberg
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Zetterberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
0
2
Ryan
Zetterberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
2
3
Ryan
Zetterberg
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Ryan
Zetterberg
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Zetterberg
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
48.4% (1,147)
+8.1%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
49.1% (220)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
37.5% (8)
+25.7%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zetterberg shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Zetterberg is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Ryan
Zetterberg
Home
56.7% (466)
49.4% (656)
Away
56.3% (474)
47.6% (719)
By Period
Ryan
Zetterberg
P1
55.4%
46.7%
P2
58.1%
51.4%
P3
55.8%
46.4%
OT
66.7%
76.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 07:24 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |