Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rose on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rose shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Rose 44.3% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 72.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 72.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 76.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Ryan
Rose
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Ryan
Rose
Last 9: Ryan 5-4 Rose
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rose
1
2
Ryan
Rose
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Rose
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Rose
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Rose
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
44.0% (1,358)
+12.6%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
47.6% (21)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
43.2% (139)
+4.6%
On even strength, Ryan has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rose shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Rose is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Ryan
Rose
Home
56.2% (2,559)
46.0% (781)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
41.8% (737)
By Period
Ryan
Rose
P1
55.1%
45.9%
P2
54.7%
43.5%
P3
56.0%
42.1%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |