Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Winchester shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Winchester 53.7% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 54.6%
Defensive zone
Winchester 51.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 56.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Ryan
Winchester
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Winchester
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
55.2% (716)
+1.4%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
46.7% (15)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
51.4% (175)
-3.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winchester shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Winchester is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Ryan
Winchester
Home
56.2% (2,559)
54.7% (459)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
53.4% (451)
By Period
Ryan
Winchester
P1
55.1%
47.8%
P2
54.7%
57.8%
P3
56.0%
56.2%
OT
58.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%