Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Jooris 49.5% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 61.8%
Defensive zone
Jooris 84.1%
Neutral zone
Jooris 59.5%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Ryan
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ryan
Jooris
Last 6: Ryan 2-4 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Jooris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Jooris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
3
Ryan
Jooris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
50.3% (390)
+4.6%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
75.0% (4)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
41.1% (56)
+1.0%
On power play, Jooris has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Ryan is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Ryan shoots right. Jooris is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Ryan
Jooris
Home
57.7% (355)
50.0% (218)
Away
52.8% (352)
48.7% (232)
By Period
Ryan
Jooris
P1
57.9%
54.1%
P2
53.2%
42.1%
P3
54.8%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |