Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Brown 43.0% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 58.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 68.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Ryan
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Ryan
Brown
Last 7: Ryan 3-4 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Ryan
Brown
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Ryan
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
2
Ryan
Brown
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
39.7% (237)
+16.9%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
57.1% (7)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
42.9% (14)
+4.9%
On even strength, Ryan has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Brown is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Ryan
Brown
Home
56.2% (2,559)
41.2% (148)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
39.1% (110)
By Period
Ryan
Brown
P1
55.1%
36.6%
P2
54.7%
43.0%
P3
56.0%
41.2%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Brown
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | JT Brown |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | JT Brown |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | JT Brown |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | JT Brown |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |