Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Brown 46.5% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 59.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 61.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Ryan
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Ryan
Brown
Last 7: Ryan 3-4 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Ryan
Brown
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Ryan
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
2
Ryan
Brown
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
44.2% (113)
+12.3%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
33.3% (3)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
0.0% (1)
+63.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Ryan is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Ryan shoots right. Brown is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Ryan
Brown
Home
56.7% (466)
45.7% (70)
Away
56.3% (474)
40.4% (47)
By Period
Ryan
Brown
P1
55.4%
35.5%
P2
58.1%
45.5%
P3
55.8%
47.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Brown
34.0%▼
39.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | JT Brown |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | JT Brown |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | JT Brown |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | JT Brown |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |