Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Khaira shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Khaira 46.7% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 91.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 81.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 91.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Ryan
Khaira
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Ryan
Khaira
Last 8: Ryan 6-2 Khaira
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Khaira
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Khaira
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Khaira
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
47.8% (1,154)
+8.8%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
47.9% (48)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
38.0% (192)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Khaira is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Ryan
Khaira
Home
56.2% (2,559)
47.6% (668)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
45.5% (726)
By Period
Ryan
Khaira
P1
55.1%
48.5%
P2
54.7%
44.9%
P3
56.0%
46.1%
Final 5 min
52.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |