Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Hanzal 53.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 58.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 62.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.8%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Ryan
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Ryan
Hanzal
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
7
2
Ryan
Hanzal
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
2
Ryan
Hanzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Ryan
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
54.0% (5,547)
+2.6%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
56.7% (1,179)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
46.0% (644)
+1.8%
On power play, Hanzal has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hanzal
Home
56.2% (2,559)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Ryan
Hanzal
P1
55.1%
54.9%
P2
54.7%
53.6%
P3
56.0%
52.4%
OT
58.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 13, 2017 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |