Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Hanzal 54.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 85.5%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 73.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 68.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Ryan
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ryan
Hanzal
Last 6: Ryan 4-2 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
0
Ryan
Hanzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Ryan
Hanzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Ryan
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
56.7% (321)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
60.6% (33)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
46.3% (80)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Hanzal is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hanzal
Home
56.7% (466)
58.6% (220)
Away
56.3% (474)
51.4% (214)
By Period
Ryan
Hanzal
P1
55.4%
58.3%
P2
58.1%
56.7%
P3
55.8%
50.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 13, 2017 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |