Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Cullen 50.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 61.2%
Defensive zone
Cullen 74.2%
Neutral zone
Cullen 56.3%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Ryan
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ryan
Cullen
Last 6: Ryan 2-4 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Cullen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
4
Ryan
Cullen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
50.1% (637)
+6.4%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
50.0% (8)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
53.3% (60)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Cullen is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Ryan
Cullen
Home
56.7% (466)
50.5% (400)
Away
56.3% (474)
50.2% (305)
By Period
Ryan
Cullen
P1
55.4%
49.8%
P2
58.1%
48.8%
P3
55.8%
52.9%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |