Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 54.9%). Look for Fisher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Fisher 54.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 77.4%
Defensive zone
Fisher 66.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 58.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Ryan
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ryan
Fisher
Last 6: Ryan 2-4 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
2
Ryan
Fisher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Fisher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
2
Ryan
Fisher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
55.0% (908)
-0.1%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
59.8% (189)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
49.7% (183)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Ryan is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Ryan shoots right. Fisher is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Home / Away
Ryan
Fisher
Home
57.7% (355)
54.3% (661)
Away
52.8% (352)
55.6% (619)
By Period
Ryan
Fisher
P1
57.9%
50.1%
P2
53.2%
57.7%
P3
54.8%
56.0%
OT
100.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |