Scouting Report
Mike Vecchione holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Vecchione shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Vecchione 51.8% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vecchione 53.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 71.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 58.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Ryan
Vecchione
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ryan
Vecchione
Last 5: Ryan 2-3 Vecchione
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vecchione
0
1
Ryan
Vecchione
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Vecchione
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vecchione
0
1
Ryan
Vecchione
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Vecchione
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
66.7% (12)
-10.1%
On even strength, Vecchione has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vecchione shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Vecchione is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Ryan
Vecchione
Home
56.2% (2,559)
60.0% (5)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
71.4% (7)
By Period
Ryan
Vecchione
P1
55.1%
66.7%
P2
54.7%
80.0%
P3
56.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Vecchione
66.7%▬
66.7%
66.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Mike Vecchione |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Mike Vecchione |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Mike Vecchione |