Derek Ryan vs Paul Stastny

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.1%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Ryan 55.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor Stastny leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone Stastny 61.4%
Defensive zone Ryan 65.3%
Neutral zone Ryan 57.9%
Result Derek Ryan favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Ryan Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
17 - 23 (40 meetings)
17
23
Ryan Stastny
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Stastny

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
11
Ryan Stastny
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
9
8
Ryan Stastny
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
4
Ryan Stastny
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Ryan
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
54.6% (10,616)
+2.0%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
59.1% (1,994)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
52.9% (1,119)
-5.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +5.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Ryan
Stastny
Home
56.2% (2,559)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Ryan
Stastny
P1
55.1%
56.3%
P2
54.7%
55.4%
P3
56.0%
53.5%
OT
58.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
55.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%
60.0%
55.3%
Stastny
52.0%
55.5%
55.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
May 5, 2021 3 01:16 Offensive Paul Stastny
Mar 29, 2021 1 03:11 Offensive Paul Stastny
Mar 26, 2021 3 10:16 Defensive Derek Ryan
Mar 26, 2021 3 06:52 Neutral Derek Ryan
Feb 2, 2021 2 17:23 Offensive Paul Stastny
Feb 2, 2021 1 18:34 Defensive Derek Ryan
Feb 1, 2021 3 04:24 Neutral Derek Ryan
Feb 1, 2021 2 17:14 Offensive Derek Ryan
Jan 14, 2021 2 15:04 Neutral Paul Stastny
Nov 17, 2019 3 14:37 Offensive Paul Stastny
Nov 17, 2019 3 14:25 Neutral Paul Stastny
Nov 17, 2019 2 02:17 Defensive Derek Ryan
Nov 17, 2019 1 06:10 Defensive Derek Ryan
Oct 12, 2019 2 07:35 Offensive Paul Stastny
Oct 12, 2019 2 03:04 Defensive Derek Ryan
Mar 10, 2019 3 16:47 Offensive Paul Stastny
Mar 10, 2019 2 02:58 Offensive Paul Stastny
Mar 6, 2019 3 07:22 Offensive Paul Stastny
Mar 6, 2019 3 02:21 Defensive Paul Stastny
Mar 6, 2019 2 05:37 Defensive Paul Stastny