Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 51.5% vs Stastny 54.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 78.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 62.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 60.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Ryan
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Ryan
Stastny
Last 9: Ryan 5-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Ryan
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (245)
52.5% (432)
+1.8%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
60.4% (154)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (41)
66.7% (6)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ryan is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Ryan shoots right. Stastny is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Ryan
Stastny
Home
50.9% (167)
58.3% (307)
Away
53.5% (127)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Ryan
Stastny
P1
44.0%
57.4%
P2
61.7%
51.7%
P3
50.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |