Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Engvall shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Engvall 43.7% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 91.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 95.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 96.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Ryan
Engvall
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Ryan
Engvall
Last 10: Ryan 7-3 Engvall
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
0
Ryan
Engvall
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Engvall
2
3
Ryan
Engvall
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
1
Ryan
Engvall
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Engvall
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
41.8% (471)
+14.8%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
53.7% (41)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
41.2% (51)
+6.6%
On even strength, Ryan has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Engvall shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Engvall is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Ryan
Engvall
Home
56.2% (2,559)
45.6% (248)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
40.3% (315)
By Period
Ryan
Engvall
P1
55.1%
45.3%
P2
54.7%
43.1%
P3
56.0%
39.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Engvall
36.0%▼
43.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Pierre Engvall |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Pierre Engvall |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |