Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Kupari 50.4% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 83.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 81.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 88.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Ryan
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Ryan
Kupari
Last 7: Ryan 6-1 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Kupari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Kupari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Kupari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
50.5% (1,275)
+6.1%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
43.5% (23)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
50.4% (139)
-2.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Kupari is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kupari
Home
56.2% (2,559)
51.4% (782)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
49.2% (655)
By Period
Ryan
Kupari
P1
55.1%
49.9%
P2
54.7%
48.5%
P3
56.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |