Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Kero 46.5% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 83.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 87.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 86.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Ryan
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Ryan
Kero
Last 8: Ryan 6-2 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Kero
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
0
1
Ryan
Kero
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Kero
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
47.0% (668)
+9.6%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
42.9% (7)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
31.9% (47)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Kero is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kero
Home
56.2% (2,559)
49.1% (332)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
43.3% (390)
By Period
Ryan
Kero
P1
55.1%
47.6%
P2
54.7%
48.8%
P3
56.0%
40.9%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |