Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Kero 48.3% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 90.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 70.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 84.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Ryan
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ryan
Kero
Last 5: Ryan 4-1 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Kero
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Kero
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
46.3% (67)
+10.2%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
0.0% (1)
+55.2%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
50.0% (8)
+13.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Kero is 34.4% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kero
Home
56.7% (466)
52.2% (46)
Away
56.3% (474)
36.7% (30)
By Period
Ryan
Kero
P1
55.4%
64.0%
P2
58.1%
41.9%
P3
55.8%
31.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
68.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |