Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nylander on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Nylander 50.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Nylander leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nylander 86.5%
Defensive zone
Nylander 54.3%
Neutral zone
Nylander 74.2%
Result
William Nylander favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Ryan
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Ryan
Nylander
Last 10: Ryan 3-7 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
1
4
Ryan
Nylander
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nylander
2
3
Ryan
Nylander
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
50.3% (1,869)
+6.3%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
46.9% (228)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
54.8% (31)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Nylander is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (609).
Home / Away
Ryan
Nylander
Home
56.2% (2,559)
51.3% (1,186)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
48.3% (942)
By Period
Ryan
Nylander
P1
55.1%
51.3%
P2
54.7%
45.6%
P3
56.0%
53.3%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:18 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |