Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nylander on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Nylander 54.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 81.3%
Defensive zone
Nylander 53.6%
Neutral zone
Nylander 65.5%
Result
William Nylander favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Ryan
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ryan
Nylander
Last 5: Ryan 1-4 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Nylander
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
3
Ryan
Nylander
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
56.5% (324)
+2.6%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
46.5% (43)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
0.0% (1)
+57.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Ryan is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Ryan shoots right. Nylander is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Ryan
Nylander
Home
57.0% (398)
57.1% (177)
Away
59.5% (358)
53.4% (191)
By Period
Ryan
Nylander
P1
56.2%
56.4%
P2
56.9%
51.8%
P3
61.1%
56.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2019 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:18 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Mar 4, 2019 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | William Nylander |