Alexander Wennberg vs Derek Stepan
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Wennberg wins 34.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 43.7% vs Stepan 44.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 62.1%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 50.2%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 50.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Wennberg
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Wennberg
Stepan
Last 8: Wennberg 5-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
3
2
Wennberg
Stepan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (569)
43.5% (942)
-1.0%
Power Play
48.8% (41)
48.1% (162)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (64)
43.0% (128)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Wennberg is 34.3% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Wennberg shoots left. Stepan is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Stepan
Home
46.8% (340)
45.6% (629)
Away
38.6% (334)
42.5% (603)
By Period
Wennberg
Stepan
P1
38.2%
44.7%
P2
42.9%
43.7%
P3
47.7%
43.9%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
42.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |