Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Anisimov wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anisimov 45.6% vs Stepan 47.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Anisimov 70.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 50.4%
Neutral zone
Anisimov 60.7%
Result
Artem Anisimov favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Anisimov
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Anisimov
Stepan
Last 7: Anisimov 2-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Anisimov
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
3
Anisimov
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Anisimov
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anisimov
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (767)
48.2% (1,155)
-3.5%
Power Play
48.8% (121)
48.2% (193)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
37.9% (174)
+3.3%
On even strength, Stepan has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Anisimov is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Anisimov shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Home / Away
Anisimov
Stepan
Home
48.0% (490)
46.4% (774)
Away
41.9% (432)
47.7% (748)
By Period
Anisimov
Stepan
P1
47.6%
46.7%
P2
44.2%
46.3%
P3
44.0%
48.1%
OT
33.3%
47.6%
Final 5 min
45.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anisimov
40.0%▼
45.5%
45.1%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Dec 9, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |