Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Anisimov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Anisimov wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anisimov 46.2% vs Stepan 47.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 53.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 63.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 59.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Anisimov
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Anisimov
Stepan
Last 7: Anisimov 5-2 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Anisimov
3
0
Anisimov
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Anisimov
1
0
Anisimov
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Anisimov
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anisimov
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (633)
46.8% (991)
-0.5%
Power Play
42.9% (56)
48.8% (211)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
48.3% (174)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Anisimov is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Anisimov shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Home / Away
Anisimov
Stepan
Home
48.8% (332)
48.6% (666)
Away
43.1% (394)
46.1% (710)
By Period
Anisimov
Stepan
P1
44.5%
46.3%
P2
48.6%
50.7%
P3
43.7%
45.5%
OT
57.1%
39.1%
Final 5 min
44.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anisimov
40.0%▼
45.5%
45.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Artem Anisimov |