Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Dubinsky wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 52.7% vs Stepan 45.5% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Dubinsky leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 83.3%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 94.2%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 95.7%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Dubinsky
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
5
(19 meetings)
14
5
Dubinsky
Stepan
Last 10: Dubinsky 7-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
4
2
Dubinsky
Stepan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
8
0
Dubinsky
Stepan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
3
Dubinsky
Stepan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (831)
43.8% (1,141)
+10.4%
Power Play
54.3% (138)
52.2% (253)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (138)
43.2% (118)
+1.0%
On even strength, Dubinsky has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Dubinsky is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Dubinsky shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Stepan
Home
53.1% (608)
47.8% (828)
Away
52.7% (499)
42.0% (684)
By Period
Dubinsky
Stepan
P1
53.5%
49.5%
P2
54.4%
42.0%
P3
50.5%
44.3%
OT
64.3%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 6, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |