Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Dubinsky wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 54.3% vs Stepan 47.9% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 67.7%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 94.6%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 91.7%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Dubinsky
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Dubinsky
Stepan
Last 9: Dubinsky 8-1 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
7
0
Dubinsky
Stepan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Dubinsky
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (784)
47.0% (1,210)
+7.5%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
51.7% (232)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (147)
47.2% (108)
+7.2%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Dubinsky is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Dubinsky shoots left. Stepan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Stepan
Home
55.1% (521)
48.2% (761)
Away
54.3% (431)
47.3% (789)
By Period
Dubinsky
Stepan
P1
58.5%
46.3%
P2
49.8%
50.4%
P3
55.8%
46.3%
OT
63.6%
55.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
54.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |