Scouting Report
Cody McCormick holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 50.0% vs Stepan 44.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 78.3%
Defensive zone
McCormick 69.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 55.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
McCormick
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McCormick
Stepan
Last 6: McCormick 3-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCormick
1
0
McCormick
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCormick
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
McCormick
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (196)
43.5% (942)
+10.1%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
48.1% (162)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
43.0% (128)
-1.7%
On power play, McCormick has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. McCormick is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (128).
McCormick shoots right. Stepan is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
McCormick
Stepan
Home
52.2% (161)
45.6% (629)
Away
47.4% (133)
42.5% (603)
By Period
McCormick
Stepan
P1
48.5%
44.7%
P2
46.7%
43.7%
P3
54.0%
43.9%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.0%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Cody McCormick |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Cody McCormick |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Cody McCormick |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |