Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Moore shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Moore 54.4% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 93.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 79.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 85.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Stepan
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Stepan
Moore
Last 6: Stepan 0-6 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
2
Stepan
Moore
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
0
4
Stepan
Moore
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
54.1% (625)
-9.2%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
62.9% (35)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
57.7% (97)
-27.9%
On penalty kill, Moore has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Stepan is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Stepan shoots right. Moore is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Stepan
Moore
Home
45.6% (463)
55.0% (309)
Away
43.3% (404)
55.0% (453)
By Period
Stepan
Moore
P1
50.2%
53.6%
P2
39.4%
56.7%
P3
45.7%
54.0%
OT
38.9%
77.8%
Final 5 min
48.2%
62.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |