Scouting Report
Dustin Jeffrey holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jeffrey on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jeffrey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.1% vs Jeffrey 48.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 54.4%
Defensive zone
Jeffrey 82.7%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 68.7%
Result
Dustin Jeffrey favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Stepan
Jeffrey
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stepan
Jeffrey
Last 7: Stepan 5-2 Jeffrey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Jeffrey
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
2
Stepan
Jeffrey
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Jeffrey
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jeffrey
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (680)
46.2% (197)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.8% (118)
50.0% (6)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
29.8% (57)
64.7% (17)
-34.9%
On penalty kill, Jeffrey has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jeffrey shoots left. Stepan is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Stepan shoots right. Jeffrey is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jeffrey
Home
45.6% (463)
49.4% (89)
Away
43.3% (404)
47.8% (136)
By Period
Stepan
Jeffrey
P1
50.2%
47.8%
P2
39.4%
48.7%
P3
45.7%
48.7%
OT
38.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.5%
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |