Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs McKegg 50.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 58.0%
Defensive zone
McKegg 63.2%
Neutral zone
McKegg 55.2%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Stepan
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Stepan
McKegg
Last 9: Stepan 6-3 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
McKegg
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
2
Stepan
McKegg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
McKegg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
49.1% (171)
-0.9%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
100.0% (3)
-51.8%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
50.0% (6)
-12.1%
On power play, McKegg has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Stepan shoots right. McKegg is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Stepan
McKegg
Home
46.4% (774)
50.7% (75)
Away
47.7% (748)
49.5% (105)
By Period
Stepan
McKegg
P1
46.7%
45.9%
P2
46.3%
53.3%
P3
48.1%
50.8%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 11:52 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |