Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.7% vs 47.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.0% vs Campbell 47.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 70.2%
Defensive zone
Campbell 55.1%
Neutral zone
Campbell 55.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Stepan
Campbell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stepan
Campbell
Last 6: Stepan 2-4 Campbell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Campbell
0
2
Stepan
Campbell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Campbell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Campbell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Campbell
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (889)
49.0% (384)
-2.4%
Power Play
46.9% (113)
50.0% (2)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
41.7% (96)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Campbell shoots left. Stepan is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Stepan shoots right. Campbell is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Stepan
Campbell
Home
47.7% (555)
50.8% (258)
Away
45.6% (548)
43.8% (224)
By Period
Stepan
Campbell
P1
46.4%
45.3%
P2
45.7%
49.4%
P3
48.5%
47.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Campbell
46.0%▼
51.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Gregory Campbell |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Gregory Campbell |